{"id":24282,"date":"2024-06-05T13:55:22","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T17:55:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.odysseylogistics.com\/?post_type=blog&#038;p=24282"},"modified":"2025-03-05T21:23:31","modified_gmt":"2025-03-06T02:23:31","slug":"global-issues-squeeze-freight","status":"publish","type":"blog","link":"https:\/\/www.odysseylogistics.com\/blog\/global-issues-squeeze-freight\/","title":{"rendered":"Perfect storm: Global issues squeeze freight"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"24282\" class=\"elementor elementor-24282\" data-elementor-post-type=\"blog\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2d665df5 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"2d665df5\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-456ded54 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"456ded54\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As we move further into 2024, it\u2019s clear that equipment availability, fuel costs and freight rates are all moving in time with the many different global issues that are impacting global supply chains. The Red Sea crisis, war in Ukraine, higher China tariffs and the uncertainty around the Iran nuclear deal are just some of the top geopolitical tensions that are affecting certain aspects of transportation.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Collectively, these issues are impacting the state of freight right now and creating new challenges for shippers and consumers alike. For example,<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/05\/23\/a-sudden-container-crunch-is-sending-ocean-freight-rates-soaring.html\"> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CNBC<\/span><\/i><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> reports that the ocean container capacity crunch has hit global trade just as peak shipping season starts, with freight spot rates up some 30% over the past few weeks and heading higher.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cA perfect storm in global trade is creating a shipping container capacity crunch, fueling a sudden and surprise spike in ocean freight rates,\u201d the news outlet says. \u201cThe beginning of peak shipping season, coupled with the longer transits to avoid the Red Sea, and bad weather in Asia, have hit the flow of trade on key routes. Ocean carriers are skipping ports or decreasing their time at port, and not picking up empty containers, in an effort to keep vessels on track for delivery.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><b>Freight Rates Surge<\/b><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Surging freight rates started last December when terrorist attacks in the Red Sea forced the world\u2019s container ships to divert around Africa, reducing shipping capacity. This was because it takes 30-40 percent longer to complete the round trip from Asia to Europe, lowering the network\u2019s effective throughput, according to<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/businessday.ng\/maritime\/article\/why-global-container-freight-charges-are-surging\/?utm_source=global-trade-newsletter.beehiiv.com&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=freight-rates-soar\"> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Business Day<\/span><\/i><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), which measures the container freight price in the spot market showed that Shanghai to Europe rates hit a 155 percent increase from April 15, and nearly three times increase from December 15, 2023, the publication reports.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cAlso, Asia to US trade lanes have been heavily impacted, with rates from Shanghai to the US West Coast adding \u2018a 37 percent increase from April 15, and a 142 percent increase from Dec 15, 2023.\u2019 The high cost of freight offsets capacity gaps caused by the Suez re-routings as carriers were forced to rotate many ships from the Pacific to Asia-Europe lanes,\u201d notes Amaka Anagor-Ewuzie in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/businessday.ng\/maritime\/article\/why-global-container-freight-charges-are-surging\/#:~:text=Also%2C%20Asia%20to%20US%20trade,increase%20from%20Dec%2015%2C%202023.\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Business Day<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p><p><b>Teetering at the Top of a Sharp Pyramid<\/b><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The container shipping market right now can at best be described as teetering at the top of a sharp pyramid. The ability to even roughly predict what freight rates will do over the next six months is getting more difficult. Some of this ambiguity can be blamed on these underlying market conditions:<\/span><\/p><ul><li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0 <\/span> <b>There\u2019s a lot of extra capacity right now. <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There\u2019s been demand growth of about 8% over the past five years combined with fleet growth of 25%. This imbalance has created substantial overcapacity, some of which has been absorbed through slow-steaming. About 1.5 million TEUs of capacity will be injected into the market this year, and will only worsen the overcapacity issue.<\/span><\/li><li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0 <\/span> <b>The Red Sea crisis persists. <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The much longer sailing distances around southern Africa translate into a sharp change in demand when measured in TEU miles. Essentially, the overcapacity outlined in the above point is just enough to cope with the new diversions around Africa, provided vessels are sped up again and that there are no additional disruptions.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 <\/span><b>Port congestion is getting worse again.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Port congestion in Asia and the Western Mediterranean has been gradually worsening for several months, and has officially reached a boiling point in the last 30 days. As the Red Sea crisis persists, and with zero excess capacity to deal with new problems, we now have insufficient capacity in the global supply\/demand balance.\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a0 <\/span><b>Demand for container shipping is spiking.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This appears to have caught everyone by surprise, carriers included. This is an extremely early onset of the peak season as anxious shippers anticipate large scale disruptions on the U.S. East Coast if labor negotiations break down. Also, an earlier peak season should be expected for any services being diverted around Africa. To some degree, the spiking demand for container shipping is the straw that broke the camel\u2019s back in terms of capacity shortages.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/li><\/ul><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><b>What\u2019s Coming Next?<\/b><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Overall, the market situation right now mimics the early parts of the pandemic disruptions, where insufficient capacity led to the largest rate increases the industry had ever seen. If high demand for containers continues\u2014and if this isn\u2019t just a temporary early peak season, but rather a sustained boom\u2014then rates will continue to climb.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The maritime industry has been facing challenges stemming initially from the diversions in the Red Sea. The carriers have been posting longer transit times and as a result, the equipment flow has been disrupted.\u00a0 There have been lower levels of available equipment at export hubs paired with an earlier-than-expected surge in demand resulting in congestion, and higher rates, and while carriers are bringing on capacity the equipment shortage isn\u2019t supporting current volumes.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, if the Red Sea routing reopens, it would instantly recreate the substantial overcapacity the market was grappling with at the end of 2023 and could cause a sharp drop in spot rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Navigating these uncertainties isn\u2019t getting any easier for shippers, most of whom are now planning out their supply chains and freight budgets for the rest of the year. Knowing that the two most likely scenarios appear to go in two extremely different directions makes it exceedingly difficult to put solid plans in place right now.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0There are steps you can take to manage during this period of volatility:\u00a0<\/span><\/p><ul><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Embrace agility and be ready to adapt your shipping strategies on the fly;\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Always work with a reputable, experienced logistics provider that has its finger on the pulse of the market; and plan ahead and book early.\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consider airfreight for time-sensitive shipments,\u00a0<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Use real-time tracking tools to monitor your supply chain (and, adjust accordingly)<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Look for carriers that prioritize fuel efficiency.\u00a0<\/span><\/li><\/ul><p>\u00a0<\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Odyssey\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.odysseylogistics.com\/international\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">International Forwarding<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> experts offer the best in Customs Brokerage, International Freight Forwarding, NVOCC, and IAC services. Our team of experts bring over 70+ years of experience to the industry and help our clients\u00a0 proactively identify and avoid possible issues, we rise to the challenge to solve even the most complex problems. Connect with one of our experts today.<\/span><\/p><p><!-- \/wp:separator --><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As we move further into 2024, it\u2019s clear that equipment availability, fuel costs and freight rates are all moving in time with the many different global issues that are impacting global supply chains. The Red Sea crisis, war in Ukraine, higher China tariffs and the uncertainty around the Iran nuclear deal are just some of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":24283,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"blog_category":[74],"class_list":["post-24282","blog","type-blog","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","blog_category-industry-trends"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Perfect storm: Global issues squeeze freight - Odyssey Logistics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Global Issues Squeeze Freight, equipment availability, fuel costs and freight rates are all moving due to different global issues impacting supply chains.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.odysseylogistics.com\/blog\/global-issues-squeeze-freight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perfect storm: Global issues squeeze freight - 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